1/20/2021: Reforming The JCPOA To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust

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NEXT MEETING

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WHO/WHAT WE ARE

We are a U.S. public-policy monthly discussion group founded in the Fall of 2005 that meets on the second Wednesday of each month (with adjustments to avoid secular/religious holidays).

Since February 2020, we have met via Zoom. [For the first 14.5 years of our existence, we met at the Salt Lake City Library (210 East 400 South) with remote participation via Skype.]

The topic is selected by the attendees of the previous month’s meeting. The focus is usually a book but frequently comprises only news items from magazines/newspapers/etc. This bulletin board serves, inter alia, as a place for members to post comments or additional reference materials prior to each meeting.

Our attendance averages 11-12. Participants come from all walks of life but our regular attendees include 4 attorneys and 3 scientists.

There are approx. 190 recipients of our weekly newsletter, many of whom reside outside Utah and participate by Zoom.

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36 SIX-DEGREES-OF-SEPARATION E-MAIL CAMPAIGNS, 5 REPORTS & 8 REPRISES

We take great pride in our Six-Degrees-Of-Separation E-mail campaigns to America's decision makers which, with only a few computer keyboard key strokes, can be sent by each of our members (1) to the decision maker, and (2) to all of the member's friends and acquaintances requesting them to do the same in an unending chain.

Accordingly, we also take great pride that each of our official recommendations has been approved unanimously at one of our meetings or, at most, received only one dissent.

All 36 e-mail campaigns over the years are collected in this section. They include 8 e-mails sent by John Karls that did not receive an official endorsement for the rest of our members to send. The titles of the 28 official recommendations are ALL CAPS and the titles of 8 unofficial recommendations are lower case.

The date of the meeting at which each of the 36 campaigns was adopted is listed so that voluminous additional information about that campaign can be accessed by scrolling down to the sections of this bulletin board that relate to that meeting.

In addition, there are four items whose descriptions begin with “REPORT.” They are reports of our Great Salt Lake Working Group which was formed IAW our “Short-Time Fuse” procedures described in the next section of this bulletin board.

There is also a 1/20/2021 “Report” of our JCPOA Working Group.

Finally, there are eight items whose descriptions begin with “REPRISE.” They describe additional actions that were taken IAW previous official e-mail campaigns to bring their approved policies to the attention of additional decision makers.

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SIGNING UP TO POST ON THIS BULLETIN BOARD

Due to sabotage and porn attacks, only attendees of one or more of our meetings are permitted to post on this bulletin board.

If you have attended one of our meetings and would like to register to post something, please send an E-mail to ReadingLiberally-SaltLake@johnkarls.com with the subject, “Please Register Me For The Bulletin Board.”
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johnkarls
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Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 8:43 pm

1/20/2021: Reforming The JCPOA To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust

Post by johnkarls »

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Reforming The Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA) To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust In The Middle East


All 192 of our members were invited on 12/19/2020 to join a new “Working Group on The Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA)” in our weekly e-mail on that date – a copy of that e-mail is posted in Sec. 8 of www.ReadingLiberally-SaltLake.org entitled “Working Groups Currently Underway” – the posting including the text of that e-mail is available at viewtopic.php?f=619&t=2011&sid=899c95ba ... 64f98a869f.

The first official action of The Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA) Working Group was to send a letter on 1/20/2021 via FedEx Overnight to President Biden on the subject of “Reforming The Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA) To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust In The Middle East.”

Here is a copy of that letter –


It should be self-explanatory. As stated in the letter, it enjoyed unanimous support from our 192 members.

The FedEx Tracking No. is 782820885644.

The Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA) Working Group will continue to monitor events in order to take additional action as may be needed.

johnkarls
Posts: 1708
Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 8:43 pm

The Iran Nuclear Deal and Wendy Sherman

Post by johnkarls »

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---------------------------- Original Message -----------------------------
Subject: The Iran Nuclear Deal and Wendy Sherman
From: ReadingLiberally-SaltLake@johnkarls.com
Date: Mon, January 25, 2021 1:32 pm MST
To: The Iran Nuclear Agreement (JCPOA) Working Group
Attachments:
RL-h124-ForeignAffairsReJCPOA-2021-01-24.docx
(576.44 KiB) Downloaded 1296 times
RL-h124-ForeignAffairsArticleReJCPOA-SepOct2018.docx
(1.05 MiB) Downloaded 1282 times
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dear Friends,

For the sake of good order, this is a record of our consideration this morning of whether to launch one of our Six-Degrees-Of-Separation E-mail Campaigns against the Senate confirmation of Wendy Sherman as Deputy Secretary of State. Wendy Sherman was the “lead negotiator” on the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal.

We have already written on January 20 Inauguration Day to President Biden on the subject of “Reforming the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust in the Middle East.”

A copy of that letter is available for download in Section 1 of our website at viewtopic.php?f=23&t=2021&sid=0efe920f5 ... 12dc1bccf1 and in Section 8 of our website at viewtopic.php?f=619&t=2022&sid=0efe920f ... 12dc1bccf1.

By way of background, we decided to send our plea to President Biden as a simple letter rather than as an e-mail campaign because our organization has achieved such visibility/effectiveness over the years that simply posting the letter on our bulletin board (even though we sent the original by FedEx overnight) would immediately bring it to his attention (or at least the attention of his primary foreign-policy advisers).

As so often happens, Foreign Affairs Magazine almost immediately published on January 24 a summary supporting jumping back into the Iran Nuclear Deal. The summary is the first attachment to this e-mail.

We have no “inside information” about whether their Jan 24 “summary” was a reaction to our letter to President Biden. However, this sort of thing (regardless of what organization seems to be reacting to us and the lightning speed with which the seeming reactions occur) happens so often, it is hard to believe that they are coincidental.

[The second attachment to this e-mail is a 2018 Foreign Affairs article written by Wendy Sherman which was referenced in the Jan 24 Foreign Affairs “summary” – both of which defend the Iran Nuclear Deal.]


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Observations about the Jan 24 Foreign Affairs “Summary”


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The second paragraph of the “Summary” quotes Wendy Sherman as saying –

“The Iran deal was not perfect” [but it provided] “the best possible assurance that Iran would never obtain a nuclear weapon.”

The truth, as stated in our letter to President Biden, is that the Iran Nuclear Deal “guarantees Iran nuclear weapons by 2030” and this was “recognized from the start.”

So Wendy Sherman’s “Washington speak” that the Iran Nuclear Deal was “the best possible assurance that Iran would never obtain a nuclear weapon” means that IN WENDY SHERMAN’S JUDGMENT it was NOT possible to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.


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The last sentence of the “Summary” states –

“The question now is not only how to revive the 2015 agreement but ‘what kind of relationship the United States would like to have with Iran in this century.’”

Our letter to President Biden agrees that the question now is what kind of relationship we would like to have with –

(1) A country “that since 1984….has headed the list of the world’s “State Sponsors of Terrorism” (a list that the U.S. State Department is required to maintain under Sec. 6(j) of the Arms Export Control Act and under Sec. 620A of the Foreign Assistance Act and a list it took Iran only 5 years after the Shah was deposed to head continuously for the last 37 years),”

(2) Even worse, a country whose “behavior has grown continually worse (rather than better) in the wake of the Iran Nuclear Deal,”

(3) And worst of all, a country whose acquisition of nuclear weapons AS GUARANTEED BY THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL will cause the “Gulf State Six” to acquire their own nuclear weapons which, in turn, will lead in our judgment to a nuclear war that could easily wipe out the 50% of the world’s population which is downwind from the Persian Gulf and wipe out the 50% of the world’s oil supply that comes from, or downwind from, the Persian Gulf.


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Wendy Sherman’s Nomination as Deputy Secretary of State

I did not hear any objection this morning to my position that we should NOT oppose Wendy Sherman’s nomination as Deputy Secretary of State because –

(1) President Biden is on notice of the dangers of agreeing to another Iran Nuclear Deal and MAY GOD HAVE MERCY ON HIS SOUL if he opts for any deal that does not satisfy our criteria;

(2) President Biden is capable of providing “guard rails” for Wendy Sherman and his other negotiators; and

(3) Denying President Biden his nominee would provide a convenient excuse for a failure to honor our plea.


********************
If anyone believes the foregoing is inaccurate, please let me know by the end of the day.

Sincerely,

John Karls

solutions
Site Admin
Posts: 170
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 8:38 pm

Pres. Biden’s Global Warming Solution: The Iran Nuclear Deal

Post by solutions »

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Yesterday (Sat Feb 20), I posted on our bulletin board (at viewtopic.php?f=629&t=2034&sid=db903a5e ... ac31f04c1c) an exchange of e-mails with John Karls on the subject of “Seeding The Earth’s Atmosphere To Halt Global Warming.”

Research on that topic was discussed in the third paragraph of the Postscript of the 4/5/2019 letter that we sent to each of the Democrat Presidential Candidates, which was then attached to a letter to the Moderators of the first five Democrat Presidential-Candidate Debates.

That postscript said --

********** 4/5/2019 Presidential Candidate Letter Postscript **********

“It is well known that large volcanic eruptions will throw into the atmosphere gases and dust particles whose shading of incoming solar radiation can cool the earth for months and even years.

“[This has caused some wags to remark (however, true) that Global Warming can be solved by occasional, small nuclear wars which, of course, will be much more likely if a nuclear-arms race occurs between “The World’s Greatest ‘State Sponsor of Terrorism’” (The U.S. State Department’s long-standing legally-required description of Iran) and “The Gulf Cooperation Council” (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, The United Arab Emirates, and Oman).]

“In a similar vein, there has been research on seeding the earth’s atmosphere with various substances to achieve the same effect as volcanic eruptions or small nuclear wars. Such an approach (vs., for example, merely adopting the most economical energy source which happens to have no carbon emissions) is likely, at the very least, to incur legal liability. After all, The Russian Federation refused to ratify The Kyoto Protocol for many years because Global Warming would increase Siberia’s growing season -- until the European Union finally agreed to subsidize Russia’s economic loss. [Similar economic disparities were bridged in the Paris Climate Accord by the U.S. promising to adopt uneconomic measures virtually immediately in return for the world’s other great carbon polluters’ adopting uneconomic measures in the distant future.]”

******************** End of Postscript ********************

The second paragraph of that postscript bears repeating --

“This has caused some wags to remark (however, true) that Global Warming can be solved by occasional, small nuclear wars which, of course, will be much more likely if a nuclear-arms race occurs between “The World’s Greatest ‘State Sponsor of Terrorism’” (The U.S. State Department’s long-standing legally-required description of Iran) and “The Gulf Cooperation Council” (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, The United Arab Emirates, and Oman).”

Why?

Two days ago (Thursday Feb 18) President Biden announced his intention to grovel his way back into the Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA).

On Inauguration Day (Jan 20), we sent a FedEx Overnight letter to President Biden imploring him NOT to grovel his way back into the Iran Nuclear Deal. A copy of that letter (and FedEx tracking information) is available at viewtopic.php?f=23&t=2021&sid=eafa0b3f2 ... d88329d2ec and at viewtopic.php?f=619&t=2022&sid=eafa0b3f ... d88329d2ec.

**********
Our letter listed the most glaring inadequacies of the Iran Nuclear Deal --

(1) It does NOT provide for “anytime anywhere” inspections,

(2) It does NOT impede at all Iran’s development of nuclear-capable short-range and inter-continental ballistic missiles (which are typically launched with such slogans painted on their sides as “Death to Israel” and “Death to the Big Satan” aka the United States – BTW, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has often, even in the wake of the JCPOA, led crowds in chants of “Death to America”), and

(3) It guarantees Iran nuclear weapons by 2030.

***********
Our letter pointed out that --

“Supporters of the Iran Nuclear Deal have argued that Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was born in 1939, is likely to have departed the scene by 2030. However –

(1) Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is just as rabid as his predecessor, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who ruled Iran from 1979 when The Shah was deposed until 1989.

(2) So why should anyone think that Iran’s theocratic dictatorship -- only approved candidates are permitted to run for INFERIOR offices NOT INCLUDING “Supreme Leader” -- would produce a successor for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei who is any different from him or from his predecessor?

(3) After all, the record shows that since 1984, Iran has headed the list of the world’s “State Sponsors of Terrorism” (a list that the U.S. State Department is required to maintain under Sec. 6(j) of the Arms Export Control Act and under Sec. 620A of the Foreign Assistance Act and a list it took Iran only 5 years after the Shah was deposed to head continuously for the last 37 years).

(4) And worst of all, Iran’s behavior has grown continually worse (rather than better) in the wake of the Iran Nuclear Deal.

**********
Our letter spelled out in greater detail the point of the second paragraph (quoted above) of the Postscript of the 4/5/2019 letter to the Democrat Presidential Candidates (including Candidate Joe Biden) as follows --

(1) A nuclear Iran will immediately cause the so-called “Gulf State Six” to go nuclear!!! After all, they have no more faith in the so-called American “nuclear umbrella” than President Charles de Gaulle who pulled France out of NATO in 1966 in order to develop French nuclear weapons which the U.S. then derisively called the “Force de Frappe.”

[The “Gulf State Six” could immediately buy nuclear weapons from, say, Pakistan or North Korea, if not on the “black market” from a variety of sources.]

[As you know, the ‘Gulf State Six,” more formally known as the “Gulf Cooperation Council,” comprise Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (aka UAE), Qatar, Bahrain and Oman.]

(2) A nuclear war between Iran and the “Gulf State Six” might well constitute “Valhalla - The Twilight of The Humans” and would, at the very least, mean that –

• With the world’s prevailing winds flowing from west to east, half of the world’s population could be wiped out by nuclear radiation, and

• With half of the world’s oil supply coming from the Persian Gulf or downwind from the Persian Gulf and becoming radioactive, the world could become impoverished overnight.

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Conclusion

It would appear that President Biden is intent on groveling his way back into the Iran Nuclear Deal even though he is on notice that his decision will result in wiping out half of the world’s population and impoverishing the world overnight!

At least his decision will put enough particles in the world’s atmosphere that we won’t have to worry about Global Warming again for a while!

johnkarls
Posts: 1708
Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 8:43 pm

Long May He Live BUT MAY GOD HAVE MERCY ON PRES BIDEN’S SOUL

Post by johnkarls »

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Report of the EMERGENCY Meeting of The Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA) Working Group this morning (Sat April 3)


Following Reading Liberally’s tradition whenever a meeting report of any of its components is produced, Yours Truly prepares a report from his notes which is then posted on www.ReadingLiberaly-SaltLake.org following which any other meeting attendees are free to post any comments regarding inaccuracies or omissions.

This meeting report will be posted on www.ReadingLiberally-SaltLake.org

(1) As a so-called reply to viewtopic.php?f=23&t=2021&sid=052f157f3 ... 3531b985b3; and

(2) As the fourth posting in Section 8 of www.ReadingLiberally-SaltLake.org entitled “Working Groups Currently Underway.”


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Report of the EMERGENCY Meeting of The Iran Nuclear Deal Working Group – Sat April 3

The face of Section 8 of www.ReadingLiberally-SaltLake.org explains our long-time need for, and use of, Working Groups.

The first posting in Section 8 entitled “The Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) Working Group” contains our 12/19/2020 e-mail to each of our then-192 members explaining once more the nature of our Working Groups and inviting every member to become a member of our Iran Nuclear Deal (aka JCPOA) Working Group.

On Pres. Biden’s Inauguration Day (Jan 20), our Iran Nuclear Deal Working Group sent a letter to Pres. Biden FedEx Overnight (the FedEx Tracking No. is 782820885644).

The subject of that letter was “Re: Reforming the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust in the Middle East.”

The text of that letter is replicated below following the first set of DOUBLE ASTERISKS (though without the original formatting of the original letter which can be downloaded at viewtopic.php?f=23&t=2021&sid=052f157f3 ... 3531b985b3
or at viewtopic.php?f=619&t=2022&sid=052f157f ... 3531b985b3).


***************
On 1/25/2021, our working group met to decide whether to launch one our “Six Degrees of Separation E-mail” Campaigns to oppose Senate confirmation of Wendy Sherman as Deputy Secretary of State.

Wendy Sherman was the “lead negotiator” on the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal.

We decided NOT to oppose Wendy Sherman’s Senate confirmation because –

(1) President Biden was on notice (from, inter alia, our Jan 20 letter) of the dangers of agreeing to another Iran Nuclear Deal and we felt that “MAY GOD HAVE MERCY ON HIS SOUL” if he opts for any deal that does not satisfy our criteria;

(2) President Biden is capable of providing “guard rails” for Wendy Sherman and his other negotiators; and

(3) Denying President Biden his nominee would provide a convenient excuse for a failure to honor our plea.

A report of that meeting is available as the first so-called reply to viewtopic.php?f=23&t=2021&sid=052f157f3 ... 3531b985b3; or as the third posting in Sec. 8 of our website at viewtopic.php?f=619&t=2025&sid=052f157f ... 3531b985b3.


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The NON-ANNOUNCEMENT of next Tuesday’s (April 6) State Department Meeting with Iran in Vienna Austria on The JCPOA


The State Department has NOT EVEN issued a Press Release about this meeting. [Their Press Releases are catalogued at https://www.state.gov/press-releases/.]

Indeed, the U.S. media would not even know as of today about the meeting if it had not been announced by “the Europeans” on Thurs April 1 -- State Department “spokesperson” Ned Price during the daily State Department press briefing that afternoon said he had “just seen” the European announcement but (according to the transcript of the briefing) he could provide no information other than Pres. Biden has always wanted to jump back into the JCPOA.

The following afternoon (Fri April 2), the State Department daily press briefing was conducted by Jalina Porter who is a “Principal Deputy Spokesperson” for the State Department – whatever a “Principal Deputy Spokesperson” is though it appears to be higher in the hierarchy than Thursday’s Ned Price who was merely a “spokesperson.”

According to the April 2 transcript, Jalina Porter confirmed the U.S. State Department would meet in Vienna with Iran on Tues April 6 but --

(1) Did not know who would be the U.S. representatives; and

(2) Said the negotiations would be confined to (A) “nuclear steps that Iran would need to take in order to return to a compliance with the terms of the JCPOA” and (B) “sanction relief steps that the U.S. would need to take in order to return to that compliance.”


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Judy Woodruff and the PBS NewHour Interviewing Fri Evening Apr 2 The U.S. Chief Negotiator with Iran in Vienna on Tues April 6

[The transcript of that interview is reproduced below following the SECOND SET OF DOUBLE ASTERISKS.]


A mere 4.5 hours after the State Department Press Briefing in which they did NOT know who their Chief negotiator with Iran on Tues April 6 would be, Judy Woodruff was interviewing him for the PBS NewsHour.

Judy Woodruff originally joined the NewsHour in 1983 when it was known as The MacNeil/Lehrer Newshour; when Jim Lehrer retired in 2011, Woodruff became Co-Anchor with Gwen Ifill; when Gwen Ifill passed away in 2016, Woodruff became Sole Anchor and Managing Editor.


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Judy Woodruff SELLING HER SOUL TO THE DEVIL


It would appear that Judy Woodruff SOLD HER SOUL TO THE DEVIL in order to get the interview by confining her questions to what would be needed to restore Iran’s compliance and restore U.S. compliance.

SELLING HER SOUL because she obviously is not so ignorant that she fails to know AND THEREFORE SHOULD HAVE BROUGHT OUT IN THE INTERVIEW --

FIRST, the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal -

(1) did NOT provide for “anytime anywhere” inspections,

(2) did NOT impede at all Iran’s development of nuclear-capable short-range and inter-continental ballistic missiles (which are typically launched with such slogans painted on their sides as “Death to Israel” and “Death to the Big Satan” aka the United States – BTW, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has often, even in the wake of the JCPOA, led crowds in chants of “Death to America”), and

(3) guaranteed Iran nuclear weapons by 2030.

SECOND –

A nuclear Iran will immediately cause the so-called “Gulf State Six” to go nuclear!!! After all, they have no more faith in the so-called American “nuclear umbrella” than President Charles de Gaulle who pulled France out of NATO in 1966 in order to develop French nuclear weapons which the U.S. then derisively called the “Force de Frappe.”

[The “Gulf State Six” could immediately buy nuclear weapons from, say, Pakistan or North Korea, if not on the “black market” from a variety of sources.]

[The ‘Gulf State Six,” more formally known as the “Gulf Cooperation Council,” comprise Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (aka UAE), Qatar, Bahrain and Oman.]

THIRD –

A nuclear war between Iran and the “Gulf State Six” might well constitute “Valhalla - The Twilight of The Humans” and would, at the very least, mean that –

(1) With the world’s prevailing winds flowing from west to east, half of the world’s population could be wiped out by nuclear radiation, and

(2) With half of the world’s oil supply coming from the Persian Gulf or downwind from the Persian Gulf and becoming radioactive, the world could become impoverished overnight.

FOURTH –

Supporters of the Iran Nuclear Deal have argued that Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was born in 1939, is likely to have departed the scene by 2030. However –

(1) Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is just as rabid as his predecessor, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who ruled Iran from 1979 when The Shah was deposed until 1989.

(2) So why should anyone think that Iran’s theocratic dictatorship -- only approved candidates are permitted to run for INFERIOR offices NOT INCLUDING “Supreme Leader” -- would produce a successor for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei who is any different from him or from his predecessor?

(3) After all, the record shows that since 1984, Iran has headed the list of the world’s “State Sponsors of Terrorism” (a list that the U.S. State Department is required to maintain under Sec. 6(j) of the Arms Export Control Act and under Sec. 620A of the Foreign Assistance Act and a list it took Iran only 5 years after the Shah was deposed to head continuously for the last 37 years).

(4) And worst of all, Iran’s behavior has grown continually worse (rather than better) in the wake of the Iran Nuclear Deal.


***************
Our Refusal To Join Judy Woodruff IN SELLING OUR SOULS TO THE DEVIL

For all of the reasons set forth in the preceding section about what Judy Woodruff FAILED TO ASK (which BTW were contained in our Jan 20 letter to Pres. Biden), we recommended to Pres. Biden the following –

(1) The imposition of the “snap back” boycott provisions that the Obama Administration so wisely built into the original JCPOA should be maintained and perhaps even increased/broadened if necessary to compel Iran to prove that it is willing to give up its nuclear weapons program, as it has always argued it is willing to do and, indeed, has argued does not even exist.

(2) Proof that it is willing to give up its nuclear program should comprise, at a minimum –

• Anytime, anywhere inspections;

• A ban on development of short-range and inter-continental ballistic missiles; and

• A ban on Iran’s ever acquiring nuclear weapons.

Pres. Biden, personally and through his representatives, has made clear that he WANTS TO GROVEL HIS WAY BACK INTO THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL by restoring U.S. compliance!!!

As explained above and in our Jan 20 letter to Pres. Biden, Iranian compliance with the deal is meaningless because it does not require anytime - anywhere inspections or any ban on the development of missiles – and guarantees Iran nuclear weapons by 2030.

Indeed, The Iran Nuclear Deal effectively begged Iran NOT to announce they had acquired nuclear weapons before 2030 since the lack of anytime - anywhere inspections guarantees they can acquire them anytime they want (if, indeed, they have not already done so).

After all, it was widely reported years ago even by the mainstream media that North Korea was testing Iran’s nuclear weapons for them with Iranian nuclear experts in attendance.

And what would we do if Iran suddenly announced that it already has nuclear missiles???

Wouldn’t it be too late to impose or re-impose sanctions at that point???

After all, even Prof. Kissinger at whose feet I studied “nuclear diplomacy” in the 1960’s, would say it would be silly to think Iran would ever give up its nukes once they have been acquired, so it is better to “move on” and implement “MAD” or “Mutual Assured Destruction” which has been the basis of our relations with Russia and China for many decades.

ACCORDINGLY, UNLIKE JUDY WOODRUFF AND THE PBS NEWSHOUR, we unanimously decided that we do NOT believe that we should turn our backs on the destruction of half the world’s population and half the world’s energy supply by stooping to make suggestions confined to the only thing Pres. Biden and his minions will consider – viz., how to comply with an Iranian Nuclear Deal that virtually guarantees the destruction of half the world.

Respectfully submitted,

John Karls



***************************************************************************
***************************************************************************
Harvard Club – Box 126
27 West 44th Street
New York, NY 10036
john@johnkarls.com
January 20, 2021


Strictly Personal and Confidential – Via FedEx

President Joseph R. Biden, Jr.
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20500

Dear Mr. President:

Re: Reforming the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) To Prevent A Nuclear Holocaust in the Middle East

This is a plea from a 192-member monthly public-policy study group that I have facilitated for the past 15 years. Its participants from around the country include many attorneys and professors. This plea enjoyed unanimous support from our 192 members.

The Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) may have been the best agreement attainable in 2015 but its most-glaring inadequacies, which were recognized from the start, include –

(1) It does NOT provide for “anytime anywhere” inspections,

(2) It does NOT impede at all Iran’s development of nuclear-capable short-range and inter-continental ballistic missiles (which are typically launched with such slogans painted on their sides as “Death to Israel” and “Death to the Big Satan” aka the United States – BTW, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has often, even in the wake of the JCPOA, led crowds in chants of “Death to America”), and

(3) It guarantees Iran nuclear weapons by 2030.

We believe –

(1) A nuclear Iran will immediately cause the so-called “Gulf State Six” to go nuclear!!! After all, they have no more faith in the so-called American “nuclear umbrella” than President Charles de Gaulle who pulled France out of NATO in 1966 in order to develop French nuclear weapons which the U.S. then derisively called the “Force de Frappe.”

[The “Gulf State Six” could immediately buy nuclear weapons from, say, Pakistan or North Korea, if not on the “black market” from a variety of sources.]

[As you know, the ‘Gulf State Six,” more formally known as the “Gulf Cooperation Council,” comprise Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (aka UAE), Qatar, Bahrain and Oman.]

(2) A nuclear war between Iran and the “Gulf State Six” might well constitute “Valhalla - The Twilight of The Humans” and would, at the very least, mean that –

• With the world’s prevailing winds flowing from west to east, half of the world’s population could be wiped out by nuclear radiation, and

• With half of the world’s oil supply coming from the Persian Gulf or downwind from the Persian Gulf and becoming radioactive, the world could become impoverished overnight.

Supporters of the Iran Nuclear Deal have argued that Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was born in 1939, is likely to have departed the scene by 2030. However –

(1) Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is just as rabid as his predecessor, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who ruled Iran from 1979 when The Shah was deposed until 1989.

(2) So why should anyone think that Iran’s theocratic dictatorship -- only approved candidates are permitted to run for INFERIOR offices NOT INCLUDING “Supreme Leader” -- would produce a successor for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei who is any different from him or from his predecessor?

(3) After all, the record shows that since 1984, Iran has headed the list of the world’s “State Sponsors of Terrorism” (a list that the U.S. State Department is required to maintain under Sec. 6(j) of the Arms Export Control Act and under Sec. 620A of the Foreign Assistance Act and a list it took Iran only 5 years after the Shah was deposed to head continuously for the last 37 years).

(4) And worst of all, Iran’s behavior has grown continually worse (rather than better) in the wake of the Iran Nuclear Deal.

Accordingly, we believe –

(3) The imposition of the “snap back” boycott provisions that the Obama Administration so wisely built into the original JCPOA should be maintained and perhaps even increased/broadened if necessary to compel Iran to prove that it is willing to give up its nuclear weapons program, as it has always argued it is willing to do and, indeed, has argued does not even exist.

(4) Proof that it is willing to give up its nuclear program should comprise, at a minimum –

• Anytime, anywhere inspections;

• A ban on development of short-range and inter-continental ballistic missiles; and

• A ban on Iran’s ever acquiring nuclear weapons.

Thank you very much for your consideration.


Respectfully submitted,


John S. Karls
JD, Harvard Law School, 1967
Who’s Who in American Law, 1988-2003
Who’s Who in America, 1988-2003
Who’s Who in The World, 1994-2003



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Judy Woodruff and the PBS NewHour Interviewing Fri Evening Apr 2 The U.S. Chief Negotiator with Iran in Vienna on Tues April 5


https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/u-s-a ... clear-deal


U.S. and Iran agree to talks on returning to the 2015 nuclear deal
Apr 2, 2021 6:45 PM EDT


The United States announced Friday that it will join indirect talks with Iran beginning next week in Vienna, Austria. The ultimate goal is to have nations return to a 2015 deal in which Iran curbed nuclear activities in exchange for sanctions relief. Robert Malley, the U.S. special envoy to Iran, joins Judy Woodruff to discuss.

• Judy Woodruff:

One major shift in this Biden administration, a willingness to engage with Iran to curb that country's nuclear ambitions.

As talks start in Vienna next week, there is a lot on the line.

And, for more, we speak with Robert Malley, the U.S. special envoy to Iran.

Rob Malley, welcome back to the "NewsHour."

So, first off, what is the U.S. goal in these talks, these indirect talks?

• Robert Malley:

So, the goal is to see whether we can agree on what steps the United States needs to take to come back into compliance with the nuclear deal and what steps Iran has to take to come back into compliance with the nuclear deal.

It's been many years since the United States has had that kind of engagement with Iran. It's going to be indirect. But we have seen the product of several years in which the Trump administration had tried to impose maximum pressure on Iran, withdrawing from the deal, trying to get Iran to surrender and to agree to better terms.

Well, the result four years later, is that we're worse off vis-a-vis Iran, both on the nuclear front, where Iran has expanded its program, and on the regional front, where they have become more aggressive.

So, our goal is to see whether we could agree on a road map back to compliance for both sides.

• Judy Woodruff:

So to clarify, this is about coming up with an overall agreement, making sure both sides are on the same page, coming up with an overall agreement, not with negotiating piecemeal steps?

• Robert Malley:

Well, that's right. But, again, this is just the first step. It's going to be a difficult, arduous path because of how much time has gone by and how much mutual distrust there is.

But our goal is to discuss indirectly with our European and other partners who have internal discussions with Iran to see whether we could define those steps that both sides are going to have to take. If they're serious about coming back into compliance with the deal, we're serious. President Biden said it during the campaign and since that the United States is prepared for a mutual return back into compliance.

Let's see if we could reach an understanding with Iran about what that means.

• Judy Woodruff:

Well, what is the minimum that the U.S. is prepared to accept? Does Iran have to come back into full compliance? And how do you confirm, how do you verify what that means?

• Robert Malley:

Well, absolutely. And we did it once before. We did it in 2016.

There is the International Atomic Energy organization that can do that verification. That's what we want to do. We want Iran to be back in full compliance with the deal.

I will just note, today, they have 10 times more enriched uranium than they did at the time in 2017. So, by the simple test, are we better off today than we were then, no, we're worse off. And so we want to get Iran back into compliance. And the United States knows that, in order to get back into compliance, it's going to have to lift those sanctions that are inconsistent with the deal that was reached with Iran and the other countries involved in the nuclear deal.

• Judy Woodruff:

Which raises, of course, the question, is the U.S. prepared to raise those sanctions?

We know, what is it, something like 1,500 new sanctions were imposed in the Trump administration. Is the Biden administration prepared to lift all of those?

• Robert Malley:

Well, what President Biden said is, we're prepared to come back into compliance if Iran is prepared to come back into compliance. So we will have to go through that painstaking work of looking at those sanctions and seeing what we have to do so that Iran enjoys the benefits that it was supposed to enjoy under the deal.

So we'd have to remove those sanctions that are inconsistent with the deal, if Iran is prepared to retract those steps and reverse the steps that it is taking in violation of its nuclear commitments.

• Judy Woodruff:

I want to quote to you something that Iran's foreign minister, Javad Zarif, said in a tweet today.

He said, the aim of the session would be to — quote — "rapidly finalize sanction lifting and nuclear measures for choreographed removal of all sanctions, followed by Iran ceasing remedial measures."

Is that — is that — does it sound like you're on the same page?

• Robert Malley:

Well, I'm not going to engage in Twitter diplomacy.

I would put it this way. If we're realistic about what both sides have to do, if we engage in this with a realistic and constructive frame of mind, we could get there. But if either side takes a maximalist position, and says that the other side has to do everything first before it's going to move one inch, I think it's hard to see how this succeeds.

But Let's go in there with a constructive attitude, see what happens, see whether we can land on the same page. As I said, it's just the first step. We haven't had this kind of even indirect conversation with Iran in some time.

And so it will take some time to get back even to the semblance of the same page. But we hope we can take this first step in a constructive way and lead to the outcome that we would like to see, which is a mutual return into compliance with the deal.

• Judy Woodruff:

Rob Malley, how do you deal with the fact that Iran's nuclear scientists now have so much more information than they did in 2015, when this deal was originally agreed to?

Does this — is this just something the United States has to live with?

• Robert Malley:

Well, that's one of the questions that we're going to have to address. That's what coming back into compliance with the deal means, looking at what they have acquired, and how do we address that?

And that's why this is not as easy as just turning on a switch and we're back in compliance, they're back in compliance. It's going to require difficult discussions about what they need to do, so that we and others in the Iran nuclear deal and the International Atomic Energy organization are satisfied that Iran is back in compliance with the commitments that it made.

But that's exactly what we have to discuss and that we're going to be working on next week in Vienna.

• Judy Woodruff:

Is it fair to say the burden is equal on both sides, or do you look at Iran as having the greater burden of proof here?

• Robert Malley:

Again, I don't look at it in either way.

I think it's an issue of whether both sides can take the steps that are necessary to come back into compliance. President Biden said it. I mean, he was elected. That was the mandate that he ran on, which is that he believed that we were worse off out of the deal than we were in the deal.

And I think that's noncontroversial when you look at how much more Iran has developed its nuclear program, the reason — and how much more aggressive is it in the region than it was back in 2016. So, our goal, that — and so it's not a matter of who has the greater weight. It's whether both sides are prepared to carry the burden that they have to come back into compliance.

So, that's really — that's what we're going to test in the coming week and more, because this is — we're only in the first phase.

• Judy Woodruff:

And, as you know, there's a lot of discussion about the timing here.

Is it essential that this agreement be reached before Iran holds its elections in June?

• Robert Malley:

What's essential is that we get a good understanding, an understanding that's consistent with U.S. national security interests, from the U.S. point of view.

So, we're not going to rush this in order to beat any artificial or real deadline. But we're also not going to drag our feet in order to wait for those elections.

When there's an understanding that both sides are comfortable with, that's when there will be a deal. It has to be satisfactory to the U.S. It has to meet the conditions that the U.S. has and that other parties to the JCPOA, to the Iran nuclear deal, have.

We understand that there's an election coming up. And we know that Iran is very well aware of it. But our goal is to get to a correct return to the JCPOA, to the nuclear deal. And that's — and we will follow that pace in a very determined way. But we're not going to cut corners if we can't get a proper understanding before that time.

• Judy Woodruff:

But, just quickly, you do believe it's possible to get this done before June?

• Robert Malley:

It's possible, of course. I mean, every day that goes by, it becomes less possible, but it is possible.

And I do want to say before I leave just a thought that we have American detainees unjustly detained in Iran. We can't forget them. And anything that happens on the nuclear side, whether we succeed or fail, our goal is going to be to get them back home.

One of them, Siamak Namazi, is going to be marking 2,000 days unjustly detained in an Iranian prison tomorrow. So, we will work as hard as we can on the nuclear deal. We will get it as soon as it's possible. But we're never going to forget the Americans who are wrongfully detained and need to be reunited with their loved ones.

• Judy Woodruff:

Can there be a deal if they are not returned?

• Robert Malley:

We're going to get them home, and we will do everything we can. That's a priority for the president. It's a priority for the secretary of state. And it's a priority for my entire team.

• Judy Woodruff:

Robert Malley, who is the U.S. special envoy to Iran, thank you very much.

• Robert Malley:

Thanks so much for having me.

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