Original Proposal - “Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe” by Prof. Niall Ferguson (husband of Ayaan Hirsi Ali)

[Steve Kunath]

Originally Posted by Steve Kunath » Fri Nov 04, 2022 11:17 am – 22 views in Sec. 3 (Possible Topics for Future Meetings) before being transplanted here


I propose that we read “Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe” by Prof. Niall Ferguson (husband of Ayaan Hirsi Ali) -- (Penguin Press 5/4/2021 – 396 pages but probably less sans notes & index – Hardcover $21.63 + shipping or $12.99 Kindle from Amazon.com).

It should be noted that –

(1) Prof. Ferguson is the author of, inter alia -- (A) “Civilization: The West and The Rest” which was the focus book for our 1/13/2021 meeting, and (B) “The Square and The Tower: Networks and Power, From Freemasons to Facebook” which was the focus book for our 11/11/2020 meeting.

(2) He is also the husband of Ayaan Hirsi Alia who authored, inter alia -- (A) “Heretic: Why Islam Needs a Reformation Now” which was the focus book for our 12/13/2017 meeting, and (B) “Infidel” which was the focus book for our 6/11/2008 meeting.


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BOOK DESCRIPTION PER AMAZON.COM (quoting from the book’s dust jacket)

"All disasters are in some sense man-made."

Setting the annus horribilis of 2020 in historical perspective, Niall Ferguson explains why we are getting worse, not better, at handling disasters.

Disasters are inherently hard to predict. Pandemics, like earthquakes, wildfires, financial crises. and wars, are not normally distributed; there is no cycle of history to help us anticipate the next catastrophe. But when disaster strikes, we ought to be better prepared than the Romans were when Vesuvius erupted, or medieval Italians when the Black Death struck. We have science on our side, after all.

Yet in 2020 the responses of many developed countries, including the United States, to a new virus from China were badly bungled. Why? Why did only a few Asian countries learn the right lessons from SARS and MERS? While populist leaders certainly performed poorly in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, Niall Ferguson argues that more profound pathologies were at work--pathologies already visible in our responses to earlier disasters.

In books going back nearly twenty years, including Colossus, The Great Degeneration, and The Square and the Tower, Ferguson has studied the foibles of modern America, from imperial hubris to bureaucratic sclerosis and online fragmentation.

Drawing from multiple disciplines, including economics, cliodynamics, and network science, Doom offers not just a history but a general theory of disasters, showing why our ever more bureaucratic and complex systems are getting worse at handling them.

Doom is the lesson of history that this country--indeed the West as a whole--urgently needs to learn, if we want to handle the next crisis better, and to avoid the ultimate doom of irreversible decline.


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AUTHOR BIO

Niall Ferguson is one of the world's most renowned historians. He is the author of sixteen books, including –

Empire: The Rise and Demise of the British World Order and the Lessons for Global Power
Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire
The Pity of War: Explaining World War I
The Great Degeneration: How Institutions Decay and Economies Die
Kissinger, 1923-1968: The Idealist
The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World

His many prizes include the International Emmy for Best Documentary (2009), the Benjamin Franklin Award for Public Service (2010), the Hayek Prize for Lifetime Achievement (2012), the Ludwig Erhard Prize for Economic Journalism (2013) and the Council on Foreign Relations Arthur Ross Book Award (2016).

Prof. Ferguson received his BA and PhD from Oxford U, teaching at Cambridge U 1989-1992 and then Oxford 1992-2002. After a brief stint at NYU Business School, he served 2004-2021 as Harvard’s Laurence A. Tisch Prof of History and Harvard Business School’s William Ziegler Prof of Business Administration. He is currently the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and the head of Greenmantle LLC (a macroeconomic and geopolitical advisory firm with offices in NYC, London & San Francisco).

He married Ayaan Hirsi Ali in 2011 during the 17 years he spent teaching at Harvard. They have one child – Thomas Ferguson.

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Ayaan Hirsi Ali is also a prolific author – inter alia –

“Heretic: Why Islam Needs a Reformation Now” which was the focus book for our 12/13/2017 meeting, and
“Infidel” which was the focus book for our 6/11/2008 meeting.

BUT HER BACKGROUND IS UNIQUE –

Ayaan Hirsi Ali was born in 1969 in Somalia and raised in 4 Muslim cultures in Somalia, Saudi Arabia, Ethiopia and Kenya. After genital mutilation, etc., she fled to Holland to escape an arranged marriage.

After university in Holland, Hirsi Ali became a leader of a new political party protesting Holland’s supposed “liberal” policy of permitting the free practice of religion in general, and Islam in particular -- especially with regard to its non-liberal treatment of women including HONOR KILLINGS ON DUTCH SOIL.

[Quite a few countries in the European Union follow the practice of letting Islamic communities, in effect, SECEDE FROM THEIR HOST COUNTRIES AND FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION -- by letting such communities be ruled by Islamic Law enforced by Islamic Courts, utterly UNINFLUENCED by the laws of the host country.]

Although Hirsi Ali's new party swept to power, its leader Pym Fortuyn was assassinated two weeks before the election by Radical Muslims. Famous Dutch filmmaker Theo van Gogh was also assassinated by Radical Muslims because he had made a documentary film about Hirsi Ali and her political views. Stabbed to Theo van Gogh’s chest was a letter to Hirsi Ali that said in effect “you’re next.” As a result, Hirsi Ali fled in 2004 to the U.S. into the equivalent of the “witness protection program.”

[For Hirsi Ali, the equivalent of the "witness protection program" was joining the faculty of Harvard's Kennedy School of Government where she met Prof. Niall Ferguson whom she married in 2011 - they have one child, a son, Thomas Ferguson. This year she deserted Harvard with her husband for Stanford’s Hoover Institution.]

BTW, Hirsi Ali claimed in both “Heretic” and “Infidel” NEVER to have left the Islamic faith, contrary to the claims of her political opponents (and, BTW, Wikipedia).


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BOOK REVIEW EXCERPTS

“[Doom] hopscotches breezily across continents and centuries while also displaying an impressive command of the latest research in a large number of specialized fields, among them medical history, epidemiology, probability theory, cliodynamics and network theory. . . . Belongs on the shelf next to recent ambitious and eclectic books by authors like Jared Diamond, Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Steven Pinker. . . . Promises to make a contribution to improving our management of future disasters. . . . Insightful, productively provocative and downright brilliant.”
—New York Times Book Review

“Doom seeks to understand why humanity, time and again through the ages, has failed to prepare for catastrophes, whether natural or manmade. . . . Forecasting, network science, economics, epidemiology, together with the psychology of leadership are all considered in a dazzlingly broad examination of the ‘politics of catastrophe’ . . . Magisterial . . . [an] immensely readable book.”
—The Financial Times

“Doom covers an impressive sweep of history at a lively narrative clip and weaves a lot of disparate strands together into an engaging picture.”
—The Guardian

“We are all trying to gain perspective on Covid, and Ferguson frames the tragedy in the broadest and most bracing way, drawing on humanity’s experience of all kinds of disaster, from the bubonic plague to the First World War. Sweeping in its narrative and multidisciplinary in its approach, Doom proves you can write an engaging book about a repellent subject.”
—Sebastian Mallaby, Financial Times

“Sparkling, provocative and entertaining. . . . [Doom] fizzes with ideas and nuggets of information. . . . [Ferguson] is formidably well read and culturally curious.”
—Peter Frankopan, Prospect

“[Ferguson] tackles big topics, topics of importance, and does so with energy and skill. . . . [Doom] is well-written, wide-ranging, conceptually interesting, shrewd, and good value. . . . The deep history is handled with care, and is gripping. . . . A crucial work that truly deserves wide attention.”
—The Critic

“Doom is an informative, amusing and thought-provoking read that puts the current pandemic in context, and is full of steadying good sense for these often hysterical times.”
—South China Morning Post

“Doom is well-researched, well-argued, and all-encompassing. Ferguson uses the depth and breadth of his knowledge to cogently argue for a new understanding of catastrophic events. . . . Reminiscent of William H. McNeill’s Plagues and Peoples, [Doom] is a much-needed book on an important and pressing subject. Ferguson provides ample support for his arguments, uses an interdisciplinary approach, and offers new insights and revelations. An exemplary and thought-provoking work from a renowned author that will not disappoint.”
—Library Journal (starred review)

“[An] intensely researched . . . always entertaining account. . . . Captivating.”
—Kirkus

“Niall Ferguson puts the Covid pandemic into the broadest of historical perspectives, and reminds us that this was not the first time that humans have had to deal with catastrophic events. Drawing on a deep knowledge of global history, he catalogs the threats that mankind has faced, and the resourceful ways in which human societies have dealt with them.”
—Francis Fukuyama

“Humans have so many ways to suffer awful collective disasters that one would think we would have developed better ways of responding. In his sweeping, synthetic, engaging book, Doom, master historian Niall Ferguson explains why not and offers a path forward for better, safer, and saner responses the next time we face catastrophe.”
—Nicholas A. Christakis